“So long as
there is
sunlight,
the
sunflowers
will bloom.
So long
there is
HOPE for
us to be
self-reliant,
we will get
back on our
feet, and
stand
upright
like the
sunflowers"
|
|
Costing
and Funding of the Reorganization Exercise
by Task Force Of Federation
of Livestock Farmers' Association
Assumptions
-
Licenses for pig farming will be granted
in States where suitable parcels of land are available and in areas close
to demand.
-
Freehold land for pig farming purpose
be acquired for this purpose.
-
Reorganization and rebuilding of pre-crisis
herd size will be done in phases as disease control situation stabilizes
and demand rebounds.
-
Land Cost and The distribution of usage:
-
A fair land cost for a PFA in a state
is estimated to be between RM18, 000 to RM75, 000 per hectare. For PFA
to be viable, we have to seek land that cost within this range. IFSB owns
the land.
-
The common services areas including
the feed mill and the waste treatment system. These common services and
facilities will be managed by IFSB.
-
Cost of two types of farms:
-
Integrated farms:
-
Cost of breeder averaging RM770 each(males
and females)and
-
The cost to feed the pigs – averaging
around RM220 per porker produced.
-
Specialized farms:
-
If a contract farmer were to “rear the
weaners up to marketing”, the cost of feeds alone will be around RM170/-
each – here another specialized farmer produces the “weaners” to be supplied
to the contract farmer.
-
Rental cost of the farm facilities
including land and dwelling for the farmers. The cost for infrastructures
and facilities vary from anything RM600 to as high as RM1, 000 per SPP.
(or RM6,000 to RM10,000 per sow). There are two major factors to
explain this: -
-
The type and quality of the barns and
pens facilities can vary from probably RM400 to RM700 per SPP.
-
The cost of the land with infrastructure
and the waste management system can also vary from RM200 to as high as
RM350 per SPP.
-
The cost worked out (Table 3) comes
to around RM797 per SPP without on site abattoir, and RM852 per SPP with
on site abattoir
-
Price of Porker:
-
In 1998, the average ex-farm price per
kg of a 90 kg live pig was RM4.08 or RM360 per porker.
-
Note: 1998 was a good year for farmers
really. After this episode, when consumption picks up, the price
could be good, as there could be some shortage.
-
Farming Density and Cost of waste management
systems:
-
Land based waste management system 600
pigs per hectare. Land based system could cost around RM50 to RM60
per SPP only – Excluding land cost.
-
High-tech waste system, 1000 pigs per
hectare. A“high-tech” system could cost about RM150 to RM200 per
SPP.
For existing farms that are over-stocked
with pigs (i.e. where land is scarce) the farm may need to use some “high-tech”
system, plus reducing some SPP population.
Phases
of Rebuilding and Funding Requirements
Phase I:
| 1. |
Upgrading of SPP insitu (Table I): |
RM 60 million
|
| 2. |
IFSB resettling sub standard farms |
RM 320 million
|
(as per Sunflower Project Proposal
1.0 with revised figures for on site abattoirs)
Phase 1 will have a SPP of 1.5 million
with an annual production of 2.3 million porkers.
Phase II:
-
When the Nipah virus situation stabilizes,
an additional annual production of 500,000 to bring domestic market production
up to 2.7 million, needs another SPP of 323,000. Additional capital of
RM 274 million needed. Using same capital to loan ratio of 1 to 1, additional
RM137 million required.
-
When export market reopens, to produce
1 million porkers for overseas demand, a SPP of 650,000 will be needed.
Additional capital of RM 553 million. Using same capital to loan ratio
of 1 to 1, additional RM 277 million required.
(Figures revised to include cost of
on site abattoirs.)
Summary
of Funding Requirement
1. Financial Assistance for
Disease Control
| A. |
Pay for the shortfall of RM150 for
the 900,000 animals culled |
135 million
|
| B. |
Pay for the shortfall of RM150 for
300,000 animals
(20% of the remaining herds of 1.5
m)**
** Actual to be determined when
Screening exercise completed. |
45 million
|
|
This part of the loan to be repaid
by collection of levy by NSPC |
180 million
|
2. Soft loan to help substandard
farms upgrade insitu: 60 million
3. Soft loan to help substandard
farms relocate: 160 million
(Half of this capital to be raised
from farmers from the retained financial assistance (120 million) and new
capital (RM40 m). Affected farmers have a chance to become shareholders
in one IFSB. They need NOT become contract farmers. They can sell their
shares to farmers who want to farm. Detail rules to be drawn up in part
two of the Sunflower Project).
4. Soft loan to help rebuild
herd for domestic demand RM137 million, with capital of RM137 million raised
from the private sector or other investors.
5. Soft loan to help rebuild herd
for export market RM277 million, with capital of RM277 raised from
private investors.
Notes: No 2-5: soft loans
are to be repaid from the profits of IFSBs. It can be expected
that such funding requirement will be needed in stages over a 3-5 years
of rebuilding period.
Table
1: Estimated
Cost For “in-situ” Additional Facilities to Carry Out Waste Management
(Refer: Executive Summary of The Sunflower
Project and incorporating input from DVS)
|
State
|
Estimated
SPP
|
Estimated
Cost
@ RM100/SPP
|
|
Penang
|
53,412
|
5.34 million
|
|
*Perak
|
100,000
|
10.00 million
|
|
Selangor
|
200,000
|
20.00 million
|
|
Melaka
|
102,000
|
10.20 million
|
|
*Johore
|
137,204
|
13.70 million
|
|
Total
|
592,616
|
59.24 million
|
*Farms in Perak,Johore and Penang are
not mentioned in the Sunflower Project. Udpated
numbers from DVS's recent nationwide screening exercise.
Table
2: Estimated
Cost For “Resettling” The Substandard Farms Still In Operation (Refer:
Executive
Summary of The Sun Flower Project)
|
State
|
Estimated
SPP
|
Estimated
Cost
@ RM797/SPP
#
|
|
Penang
|
200,000
|
159.4 million
|
|
*Perak
|
112,736
|
89.85 million
|
|
Selangor
|
50,000
|
39.85 million
|
|
Melaka
|
12,967
|
10.33 million
|
|
Total
|
375,703
|
299.43 million
|
* Perak state not mentioned in the Sunflower
Project
# Including land cost. See cost
computation Table 3.
Table
3: Investment
– Capital to Establish New Farms for 1.0 million SPP (in RM million)
| |
A. Land Purchase 1,667
ha @ RM72,000/ha
(Assuming 600 SPP/ha i.e. 16.67sqm/SPP)
for land based with discharge system |
120.00
|
| |
B. Land Works (for 1,667ha)
-
Land survey @ RM550/ha
-
Jungle clearing @ RM850/ha
-
Each works @ RM1,000/ha
-
Drainage @ RM400/ha
Total: Rm2800 per hectare |
4.70
|
| |
C. Infrastructures and Utilities |
|
| 1 |
Roads within PFA (about 80 km @
RM100,000 per km) |
8.00
|
| 2 |
Electrical supply |
9.00
|
| 3 |
Telecommunication |
3.00
|
4
a
b |
Water supply
Portable water – 30 million litres/day
Surface/Bore water |
7.00
7.50
|
| 5 |
Sewerage facilities and waste management
@ RM70 per SPP (Centralized lagoon system) |
70.00
|
| 6 |
On-farm facilities and infrastructures
by individual farmers @ RM500 per SPP |
500.00
|
7
a
b
c
d
e
f |
Ancillary facilities and support
services
Central management office and farmers'
organization
Veterinary & extension services
Quarantine facilities
Artificial breeding services
Feedmilling
Miscellaneous |
3.00
1.50
2.50
3.00
15.00
2.50
|
| 8 |
Contingencies (5%) |
40.00
|
| |
Total |
*797.20 |
*Cost per SPP comes to around
RM797, including land cost. The “on-farm” facilities provided are good,
and should have a livespan of 15 years; hence the state of amortization
could be adjusted.
Cost includes land and dwelling
for the farmer.
If abattoirs are to be built inside
the farm, RM60 million to be added, making it RM857 million for 1 million
SPP, or RM857 per SPP.
Economics
of Contract Porker Production (Finishing)
based on
a 2.4 cycles per year per 1 m SPP |
RM
(million)
|
| Cost of facilities for livespan
of 15 years |
797.00
|
| Add interest at 4% for a 10-year
term loan |
890.00
|
| Average cost per year per
per SPP (890M/15/1 million) |
59.33
|
| Add 25% maintenance cost |
15.00
|
| Add 40% management charges (including
profit for ISFB shareholders) |
23.73
|
| Average cost for each SPP |
98.06
|
| Average Lease Rental to contract
farmer per year |
98.06
|
| Average cost to each porker (98.06/2.4) |
40.85
|
| Ex farm price per porker |
360.00
|
| % Of lease to ex farm price |
11.35%
|
| Economics of Porker Production
under Contract Farming |
|
| Ex Farm Price per porker |
360.00
|
| Cost of weaner from Breeder farm |
84.00
|
| Cost of feed |
170.00
|
| Cost of PFA rental |
40.85
|
| Cost of labor |
8.33
|
| Total
cost |
303.18
|
| Profit for porker |
56.82
|
| 5 months working capital for each
porker |
303.18
|
| Less credit period for feed supply
(60 days) |
56.67
|
| Max working capital needed for one
cycle of production per porker (5 mths) |
246.51
|
Therfore, if the contract “porker”farmer
produces 500 porkers per batch (five months cycle), his operating capital
is around RM125,000. Individual farmers can lease their own collateral
to secure this working capital or take out a short-term loan/soft loan
for this amount.
Notes: All figures and interest
rate computation are estimates only. They need to be further verified as
we developed Part II of this project.
Save
Lives.
Please circulate to fellow Malaysians.
|
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Cartoonist
Reggie Lee
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